Living question · provisional
Does resilience to the energy shock also preserve household purchasing power?
Aggregate growth can hide very different capacities to absorb price rises.
What we currently think
Aggregate resilience deserves recognition; the scenario guarantees neither cheaper energy nor protection for every household.
Latest movement · New thread
Growth holds up while purchasing power comes under pressure
OECD describes economies absorbing the energy shock better than expected. Its recovery scenario still rests on demanding assumptions.
Working hypotheses
No public hypothesis yet.
The red thread
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New thread
Week ending
Issue 10
Reconstructed chapter
Published onGrowth holds up while purchasing power comes under pressure
OECD describes economies absorbing the energy shock better than expected. Its recovery scenario still rests on demanding assumptions.
Judgment : Aggregate resilience deserves recognition; the scenario guarantees neither cheaper energy nor protection for every household.
Read the story →Sources
- OECD Economic Outlook, Interim Report September 2026: Weathering Successive Shocks
OECD projects 2.9% global growth in 2026; the energy-price path is a technical assumption.
- Global growth holds up despite successive shocks, but risks persist
The release describes buffers against the shock and projects 4.1% G20 inflation in 2026.
- OECD Economic Outlook, Interim Report September 2026: Weathering Successive Shocks